Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 65.494191 74.112007 82.971449 92.727501 103.137622 113.883360 125.784036
2025-03-30 53.217482 65.618896 78.981445 94.316901 111.303032 129.424940 150.105486
2025-04-06 44.576442 58.855230 74.809847 93.683576 115.143281 138.552320 165.792422
2025-04-13 37.041762 52.307931 69.969518 91.451225 116.448072 144.240077 177.111566
2025-04-20 33.935698 50.529080 70.247177 94.729891 123.697704 156.339008 195.381811
2025-04-27 30.768166 48.291162 69.664476 96.724332 129.237237 166.319584 211.119682
2025-05-04 26.882553 44.745528 67.163021 96.135478 131.503060 172.339288 222.168923
2025-05-11 23.390023 41.369597 64.592134 95.215542 133.168815 177.497256 232.088609
2025-05-18 20.998548 39.253349 63.444049 95.904403 136.652759 184.703142 244.327433
2025-05-25 18.437011 36.648900 61.464334 95.379577 138.520759 189.889782 254.118434
2025-06-01 16.475222 34.725525 60.247368 95.712105 141.356309 196.169673 265.156916
2025-06-08 14.267423 32.206348 58.047861 94.623886 142.301878 200.081355 273.310272
2025-06-15 13.034531 31.124839 57.810668 96.126671 146.561235 208.102505 286.506214
2025-06-22 11.988200 30.245415 57.797320 97.890247 151.138673 216.521172 300.211506
2025-06-29 10.396668 28.268518 56.065889 97.221626 152.506771 220.925010 309.015480
2025-07-06 8.593276 25.682511 53.263445 94.942230 151.672144 222.510458 314.322839
2025-07-13 8.264807 25.776969 54.503235 98.294017 158.229884 233.351357 330.981988
2025-07-20 7.676082 25.305541 54.829813 100.332798 163.041411 242.000093 344.962393
2025-07-27 6.605241 23.739259 53.349971 99.730901 164.292021 246.123861 353.346884
2025-08-03 5.589725 22.126076 51.690783 98.790545 165.029751 249.556023 360.847639
2025-08-10 4.962708 21.259288 51.188910 99.494706 167.960406 255.769717 371.801566
2025-08-17 4.205436 19.960247 49.886305 98.958227 169.161678 259.741114 379.944150
2025-08-24 3.656130 19.059486 49.199840 99.298142 171.535459 265.206562 389.952107